วันพุธที่ 10 ธันวาคม พ.ศ. 2551

Sunshine Policy



The Government of the People's Sunshine Policy toward North Korea and Plans for Implementation
What Is the Sunshine Policy?

The Sunshine Policy is the mainstay of the Republic of Korea's North Korea policies aimed at achieving peace on the Korean Peninsula through reconciliation and cooperation with the North. It is not a simple appeasement policy in that it pursues peace on the basis of a strong security stance.
The Government recognizes realityกชthe reunification of two Koreas will not be achieved in the near future as the two sides have been facing off in conflicts and confrontation for more than half a century. The Government believes that settlement of peace and coexistence is more important than anything else at the present time. This is why the "Government of the People"the Kim Dae-jung Administrationกชhas adopted the Sunshine Policy based on three principles. The three principles stipulate that first, we will not tolerate any armed provocation hampering peace on the peninsula; second, we will not try to hurt or absorb North Korea; and third, we will actively push reconciliation and cooperation with the North beginning with those areas which can be most easily agreed upon. By faithfully complying with the Agreement on Reconciliation, Nonaggression, and Exchanges and Cooperation Between the South and the North (the Basic Agreement), it is hoped that the Pyongyang authorities will begin down the road to reform and change.
Even after East European Communist regimes crumbled in the later years of the 1980s, North Korea steadfastly maintained closed-door, hostile policies against the South in a belief that reform and open-door policies might lead to its demise and ultimate absorption into the South. Such defensiveness has been the fundamental obstacle to peace and improved relations between the two sides.
There are two approaches that the Republic is taking in an effort to change North Korean attitudes. First, the Government is trying to persuade Pyongyang that their scheme to unify the peninsula by force is just not possible. The Government has been diligent in building a strong defense posture that can counter any armed adventure by the North. Recognizing the paramount importance of a strong deterrent, the Administration will continue to place top priority on the maintenance of adequate national defense capability.
Second, the Republic is trying to promote an atmosphere that will help Pyongyang start to reform and open up on its own volition. It is hoped that the North Korean authorities will recognize that dialogue and cooperation with the South will actually help them stabilize their regime and benefit themselves. They need to understand that reform and outward-looking policies will not lead to annexation by the South. Far from it, time and again, the Republic has made the point that it has no intention of absorbing the North. The Government is actively pushing for South-North cooperation and exchangesกช especially in the private sector and in humanitarian areas. Government-to-government exchanges, however, will be carried out on the principle of reciprocity. For instance, the Administration has tabled an offer to donate 200,000 tons of fertilizer because, in the recent Beijing talks, Pyongyang refused to allow members of separated families in the South to visit their relatives in the North. The Sunshine Policy is meant to embrace the North, but it is not a give-away charity.
The unification of Germany provides a convincing rationale for the Republic's stance that it will not absorb North Korea. After the sudden collapse of East Germany, West Germany was tremendously burdened by a slew of problems originating from the other side. Presently, North Korea is faced with wide-spread famine and economic disaster. North Korea watchers agree that, should North Korea suddenly crumble, the resulting social chaos and financial costs would be beyond the ability of South Korea to absorb. It is the judgement of the Government that at the moment it is in the best interest of the Republic to prevent an abrupt collapse of the North, and, instead, to work for gradual improvement in bilateral relations and unification by encouraging them to reform and open up.
This is where the Sunshine Policy comes in. It is aiming at providing an environment that will allay their fears and help them to choose to come out of their cocoon. With the Sunshine Policy, the Government hopes to engage Pyongyang and lead it to a "soft-landing" on the road to permanent peace on the Korean Peninsula.
Why is the Sunshine Policy Needed?
Reunification still remains the most important national objective and aspiration of Koreans. But we have to recognize that it cannot be realized without first putting an end to the cold-war confrontation with the North and establishing solid peace on the peninsula. The half-a-century old distrust and enmity should be replaced with reconciliation and cooperation so that the two sides can live peacefully based on mutual trust. It is regrettable that North Korea is sticking to its policy of unifying the country by force. The Pyongyang authorities are still reluctant to come forward for inter-Korea exchanges and cooperation for fear that that might adversely affect their hold on the people.
The Government feels it is necessary to persuade the North on the benefits that they would be reaping from exchanges with the South rather than apply hostile pressure or an economic blockade. As we have learned in the past, hostile policies and blockades only worsen the situation and intensify political and military confrontation. Heightened tensions are bound to bring on an armed race burdening both sides heavily. It certainly would hurt the Republic's current efforts to induce foreign investments and overcome the economic crisis. What is worse, if North Korea were to collapse as the result of a blockade or under its own weight, the cost of being forced to care for our North Korean brethren would be enormous. In addition, there would always be the chance that a desperate Pyong-yang would go the hot war route. All these options considered, the Sunshine Policy seems to be the only sensible alternative.
Now that East-West confrontation is long gone, the Government's Sunshine Policy is actively supported by the U.S., China and other neighboring countries. It is in line with our friends' approaches to Pyongyang. China and the U.S. have been extending economic assistance to North Korea since its food situation became critical in a bid to prevent the sudden downfall of the Pyongyang regime and the resulting chaos that would surely threaten the stability of Northeast Asia. Washington is pursuing a policy of engagement and intervention in the region in an effort to neutralize North Korean hostility toward the outside world and induce it to a soft landing in a peaceful world.

How is the Sunshine Policy Being Implemented?

The Government regards the 1992 Basic Agreement Between the South and the North as the most important document because it sets out matters of fundamental importance. Both Koreas should start complying with the provisions of the Agreement. The present Kim Dae-jung Administration intends to actively pursue South-North dialogue and has already proposed, among other things, an exchange of special envoys to prepare for communication between the top leaders of the two sides. When South-North dialogue resumes, the Government hopes to discuss easier and practical issues first, instead of trying to tackle all the issues contained in the Basic Agreement.
Economic cooperation between the South and the North will be carried out in a way that honors the independence of private businesses and the principle of give and take. The South could provide what the North wants first, but the details would have to be decided through mutual consultation and agreement. To facilitate inter-Korea trade, the Government has taken measures to abolish the investment ceiling, simplify trading procedures, and encourage business trips to the North.
As the two sides begin exchanges, the one area that looms rather prominently in the minds of Government policy makers is a humanitarian one. After being separated 50 years ago, 10 million Koreans still have close relatives who live on the other side of the Military Demarcation Line. They do not even know if they are still alive. Considering the advancing age of the first-generation separated family members, the Government of the People feels that it is most urgent that North Korea respond to our call for reunions of those families without any further delay. The Government has already decided to simplify passport issuance for older people applying to visit North Korea. Low-income travelers will be subsidized. When the South-North talks resume, the Government will give priority to pushing for the realization of exchanges of mail and "hometown visitors," and the establishment of places for family reunions.
The Government is taking the position that food shipments to Pyongyang should continue, considering the North's acute food shortage. Private-level humanitarian food assistance will be provided free of charge, but large-scale food assistance by the Government will be tied to the North's reciprocal actions. In addition, the Administration is carrying out several programs aimed at fundamentally improving the North's food production system through joint South-North agricultural development and other economic cooperation projects.
The South Korean Government is also constructing a light-water nuclear reactor in North Korea in return for Pyongyang's promise to freeze its nuclear program. The power facilities should benefit all Koreans in the long run. The nuclear reactor project will continue not only because the Government is taking the initiative, but also because it is part of an international agreement. It will be carried out in the most cost-effective way. Also, the Republic will consult closely with the U.S. and Japan, the two other parties to the agreement, to ensure that they contribute their share of the costs and help finish the project on time.
The Government is determined to improve South-North relations based on the 1992 Basic Agreement. In tandem with efforts to have direct communications with Pyongyang, the Government is exerting all-out efforts to settle peace on the peninsula through the Four-Party Talks and contacts with other members of the international community. The South-North dialogue will focus on inter-Korea reconciliation and cooperation while the Four-Party Talks will concentrate on building a permanent peace structure on the peninsula shifting away from the tentative peace brought about by the 1953 Armistice Agreement between the warring parties. The Government will also encourage North Korea to develop better relations with other countries including the U.S. and Japan and become a responsible member of international society.
The Sunshine Policy Should Be Implemented Continuously and Consistently

The people of Korea agree that the Republic should embrace their brethren in the North. In a public opinion survey conducted on the February 25 inauguration day, an overwhelming majority of 93.8 per cent supported the Government's North Korea policies. Even in a survey done after the North Korean submarine incursion in June, 62.4 percent of the people supported the Sunshine Policy. That contrasts with the 93.4 percent support given for the policy by a group of North Korea experts in a similar survey.
It is not likely that North Korea will come out of the decades of isolation and self-imposed confinement any time soon just because of our Sunshine Policy. But we also know that Pyongyang's isolation will not go on forever. With the nation's strong resolve and perseverance, we know that the Sunshine Policy will succeed.

Path for Seoul's Sunshine Policy
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
April 5, 2006
Author:
John Park, Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Belfer Center Programs or Projects:
International Security; Science, Technology, and Public Policy; Managing the Atom

The Kaesong Industrial Complex is the current embodiment of Seoul's sunshine policy towards the North. While Kaesong, strategically located north of the Demilitarized Zone separating the two Koreas, is symbolically important, the massive scale that is envisaged in the coming years is unlikely to be realized in North Korea. Pyongyang's concerns about political contamination will, in practice, limit the growth of inter-Korean economic development projects. Seoul's vision of closer integration between the two Koreas, however, can be realized in northeastern China.
While the North Korean nuclear crisis drags on with placebo-like six-party talks meetings that are once again in limbo, a promising way for Seoul to implement integration with the North has emerged during a different set of gatherings in Beijing. While the focus of the recent Chinese National People's Congress' (NPC) 11th Five-Year Development Program was the reduction of the growing gap on the mainland between those benefiting immensely from China's economic growth and those increasingly left behind, an unintended potential beneficiary is South Korea and its sunshine policy.
Contributing to the creation of prosperity and jobs in the Chinese rust belt provinces along the Sino-North Korean border constitutes a unique opportunity for the South Korean government to enable its sunshine policy to flourish. (The Roh Moo-hyun administration refers to the sunshine policy as the "Peace and Prosperity Policy.") By building factories and infrastructure projects in the area along the Sino-North Korean border with the participation of South Korean private sector firms, Seoul would be assisting the development of a regional engine of growth that would surpass Kaesong.
South Korean factories in joint ventures with Chinese firms could bring about the construction of massive industrial zones that would straddle the border. For political considerations, rather than 100 percent-owned and operated by South Korean factories and construction companies, strategic investments by South Korean small and medium enterprises (SMEs) into Chinese firms would create a way to side-step North Korean concerns about political contamination from South Korea.
The Kaesong project would continue given its symbolic significance, but the major tangible change and benefits would be realized through industrial areas along the Sino-North Korean border. A win-win situation would be created for these core parties in the region. As the tide rises, so too will all the boats. For the sunshine policy to emerge to be more than a trickle, Seoul should seek to play a major role in fostering the creation of such a tide in China's northeastern region. Being left out of that phenomenon would ensure that Seoul's economic engagement of the North would be dwarfed in relation to China's rising commerce with its neighbor. Indeed, a South Korean policy based solely on Kaesong would eventually make this complex little more than a model village of inter-Korean integration dreams for South Korean tourists.
The last time Seoul developed and implemented a creative and highly effective policy to deal with North Korea was in the late 1980s and early 1990s with Nordpolitik. Dangling trade incentives, Seoul successfully established diplomatic relations with North Korea’s core allies—China, the former Soviet Union, and Soviet bloc countries. Nordpolitik garnered Seoul greater political capital in the inter-Korean dynamic as it sought detente with Pyongyang. By focusing more on significantly developing the northeastern Chinese provinces, a strategically enlarged sunshine policy would thrive and facilitate greater engagement of Pyongyang as North Korean provinces would be drawn further into this localized economic development frenzy.
While the North Korean nuclear issue increasingly becomes a chronic part of the security landscape in the region, more economic development activity will continue to be rapidly fostered by Beijing. Trade with North Korean provinces will figure more into national as well as provincial initiatives in China. As this trend accelerates, the South Korean government has a strategic choice to make—to focus largely on Kaesong-type initiatives based on grand dreams or to implement a novel, bold policy in northeastern China that would integrate South Korea into a swelling economic phenomenon. To continue following only the former route would be to miss a strategic opportunity as the real road to North Korea is, and increasingly will be, through China.
John S. Park is the project leader of the North Korea Analysis Group at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. His research examines the negotiating strategies of the six-party talks countries.

For more information about this publication please contact the
Belfer Center Communications Office at 617-495-9858.
For Academic Citation:Park, John S. "Path for Seoul's Sunshine Policy." The Korea Times (2006 Apr 5).

7 ความคิดเห็น:

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

What Is the Sunshine Policy?

ทางออก ของปัญหาที่มีมานานกว่า 10 ปีอย่างนี้
คงต้องอาศัย ความสามัคคีของคนในประเทศสุดๆเลย

เพราะ ถ้าเกาหลีเหนือและเกาหลีใต้รวมกันแล้วละก็



คงเป็นประเทศที่มีศักยภาพ ในทุกๆด้านอย่างแน่นอน

อาจ เหมือน "เสือ ติด ปีก" ก้อว่าได้เลย

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

ทางออกของปัญหา เกาหลีเหนือและเกาหลีใต้ที่มีระยะเวลายาวนานกว่า 10 กว่าปี


จะแก้ไขได้ง่ายๆ ยังงั้นหรือ

ยิ่งในด้าน ระบบการเมืองการปกครองที่ต่างกันอย่างสุดขั้วแบบนี้

การรวมประเทศเข้าด้วยกันของ 2 ประเทศนี้
คงเป็นไปได้ยากยิ่ง

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

,,,,,,,ยังไงก้ออยากเอาใจช่วยเกาหลีทั้ง 2 ประเทศ เลยนะคะ

เพราะ 2 ประเทศนี้ยังไงก็เคยเป็นดินแผ่นเดียวกันมาก่อน ไม่อยากให้ปัญหายังคงค้างคาไปนานกว่านี้เลยค่ะ

เอาใจช่วย ให้2 เกาหลี สานสัมพันธ์กันต่อไปค่ะ สู้ๆ

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

ผมว่านะครับ การรวมกันระหว่าง สังคมนิยมอย่างเกาหลีเหนือ และ ประชาธิปไตยอย่างเกาหลีใต้
คงเป็นไปได้ยากยิ่ง เพราะ ระบบแนวคิดทางการเมืองมีความขัดแย้งกันอย่างสิ้นเชิง

รวมถึง ส่วนใหญ่ที่ผมเห็นแล้ว
การปกครองแบบสังคมนิยม จะค่อนข้างยึดผู้นำเพียงคนเดียว มีการปกครองแบบ เผด็จการ

แล้วถ้าเกิดการรวมตัวกัน อาจเกิดปัญหาระหว่างผู้นำทั้งสองก็เป็นได้นะครับ

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

The South Korean Government is also constructing a light-water nuclear reactor in North Korea


Why North-Korea don't stop planing
Nuclear?

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

ปัญหาทางการเมืองของเกาหลีที่ยืดเยื้ออมานานยังงี้

วิธีไหนถึงจะดีที่สุดล่ะคับ?

ไม่ระบุชื่อ กล่าวว่า...

ความขัดแย้ง ในประเทศเกาหลีมีมานานแล้ว รวมถึงการปกครองที่แตกต่างกัน ทำให้ประเทศเกาหลีมีความเป็นไปได้ยากที่จะรวมกันเป็นหนึ่ง